I'm away and obviously haven't seen this emerge but it's all over comments and I've received this translation via email from Carl-Henrik (thanks!).
I'll reprint it here without commentary as I haven't really had a chance to read it yet.
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Koeningsegg's secret buisness plan for Saab.
The buisness plan that Koenigsegg Group have for Saab Automobile includes a number of new models and goes all the way to year 2016 writes Dagens Industri.
The newspaper has got its' hand on an internal document that was the foundation for the negotiations with both the EIB and the Swedish governement.
The document points to many new planned models, among thos a totally new eletrical powered Saab 9-3X that will be launched in 2012. Then there also will be hybrid-versions of the 9-5 and 9-3 on the market.
The owners promises, according to the buisness plan, to invest 6 billion SEK (about 595 millions EUR today) in product development from next year and onwards.
The target with the plan is to transform Saab to a true preium brand in 2016. Then they will build more exclusive and more expensive cars and it should be enough with 65.000 cars a year to reach break-even financially.
In the first phase of the plan, between 2010 and 2011, it will need 115.000 cars per year to avoid making a financial loss.
In the buisness plan they clarify the ownership. The main financier, buisness man Augie Fabela, and his russian partner, buisness man and scientist Dmitri Zimin, are main owners in the Dutch "Solsken BV" which in its' turn is the main owner in Koeningsegg Group.
Facts:
The 3 phases for Saab:
2010-2011: present phase
* 115.000 cars sold gives break-even financially
* Average price per car: 189.000 SEK
2012-2015: transformation phase
* 80.000 sold cars gives break-even financially
* Average price per car: 208.000 SEK
* New models including a 9-5 Koeningsegg Edition
2016 - : premium phase
* 65.000 sold cars gives break-even financially
* Average price per car: 280.000 SEK
* New models including a New 900

The real way to make a "new 900" is to make a car that offers novel solutions and great practicality at a price regular families can afford.
Any word of a smaller car?
This can be quite complicated if they increase the average price by 50%.
Sorry If I repeat myself, but since I read the post from Dippen yesterday, I quite mixed feelings about this "plan".
I do worry about employment, though!
Now SAAB is planning to sell less SAABs but more expensive. ???
What this means is that, possibly, there will not be a 9-1 or maybe not even 9-3 in the future, but only upper market cars like 9-5 and 9-4x. Which actually makes sense for a business plan they're proposing, since you can make much more money from selling a larger, more expensive car.
9-5 K-segg edition sound nice... Weight saving techniques/materials and more poweaaa, please!
I don't know what prices were like where you live, but here in Canada, the 900 was less expensive than any Audi or BMW, and about the same as a Volvo 240 or Peugeot 505. I remember because my dad cross-shopped all of these brands around 1985.
However, I think the average price in the present phase is mostly a realization of the hard climate selling a Saab over the next few years. Both customers and dealers are wary, and it will require a price incentive to get the cars rolling out of the showrooms... ?
These are clever people, so I guess (hope!) they have their flanks covered. I believe the 50% increase in average price is only numericals of finance plans, not directly related to the perceived value and market segment, more than they will try to increase the exclusivity of the brand, a bit... Also, count in (massive) inflation and things look more reasonable. I think in NA the street price for a Saab was less than 80% of MSRP, a few months ago.
I think the plan, if the leak is real, looks rather good, save the lacking 9-1(e).
In fact, this does sound alot like a swedish Jaguar. They sold 65 000 cars in 2008.
So expect similar prices and probably no smaller cars as well. Hence no mention of the 9-1.
I'm not a big fan of the "new 900" idea, sounds like trying too hard. Sure, make a hot hatch, but don't call it a 900. I like the Koenigsegg Editions, though. Saab needs it to establish credentials against the M series, AMG and Audi's RS.
Since this is (supposedly) an internal document the quoted prices are most likely net i.e. what Saab Auto gets for each unit sold. What the customer might or might not pay is of no interest whatever to the bottom line.
I must make my ignorance public and say: I have no idea how much dealers add on to the manufacturer's price and what sort of discounts are hurled at buyers. I would also assume that these vary from country to country. Anybody out there got an idea?
Re. the plan itself: I think it sounds good. Some of you may have noticed that I have been against the K-segg deal. However, they have managed to get the whole thing this far despite the flack, and one can really only admire the guys.
The so called "current phase" is in my opinion a bit dicey. Current sales are maybe 30.000 units / annum. The 9-5 is to boost these to 115.000. I tried to find post-launch sales of the old 9-5, but was unsuccessful. Anybody have an idea of the numbers sold world-wide when the old 9-5 was a new car and what share of total unit sales did it have?
But, they will definitely lose me as customer. I am not interested in luxury cars, even the 9-3 was on the borderline of what I though was acceptable to put in a car.
We can be positive or negative to this. But also remember that this is the finacial plan to show how they want to make the company profitable out from some numbers. We don't know if they might change it when/if the start to make money.
Let's just keep focus on the final signature on the deal instead. :)
That is a credible business plan I'd say. There is no point going after the mass producers or the less than mass premium producers. Either route is in reality impossible to achieve in the short term (5-10 years).
Targeting the upper premium / luxury segment is the only way forward unless your aim is to ship the whole lot over to China within 5 years (implying going for the mass market).
I feel that the GM years may have tarnished their reputation enough to add the "risky" to the "reliable but risky" that we've heard so much about. BMW, Audi, MB, Porsche have never had a perception issue like Saab has under GM as its "loss making subsidiary."
It may be risky to try to turn that around in just a few years.
But I'm just a graphic artist, I'm not a business manager.
Let's just hope, that if this is the real plan, that the world economy comes back enough to let it happen. It'll have to.
Man, a Saab 9-5 KE would be cool as hell.
I wouldn't mind if Saab went more upscale. They need to, and if it means charging a little extra, so be it.
Modelyear 1987
[b]Base-models:[/b]
Alfa 75 1.6: fl. 30.990
Audi 80: fl. 36.365
BMW 316: fl. 35.000
Citroën CX: fl. 40.875
Peugeot 505: fl. 32.190
Volvo 240: fl. 33.800
[i]Compare to:[/i]
Saab 90: fl. 34.950
Saab 900 5-d: fl. 40.950
[b]Convertibles:[/b]
BMW 325i Convertible: fl. 77.820
[i]Compare to:[/i]
Saab 900 Convertible: fl. 95.950
[b]Big sedans:[/b]
Audi 100 1.8: fl. 49.295
Audi 100 Turbo: fl. 74.610
BMW 518i: fl. 45.300
BMW 520i: fl. 52.700
BMW 525i: fl. 64.260
[i]Compare to:[/i]
Saab 9000i: fl. 57.450
Saab 9000T: fl. 77.550
Witness what happened to Audi after the 5000 un-intended acceleration fiasco in the early 80s. Audi's market share shrunk to almost oblivion. It took Audi about 20 years to rebuild confidence and establish itself to where it's at today, at BMW levels (or higher) in terms of performance, prestige and value(?).
It won't take Saab/K-egg 20 years. But their plan must be consistent and unwavering, offering technologies and products that people truly want and want to pay premium prices for.
sorry but your commentaries sound quite snobby to me. Would you like to have a swedish car to show off when you go playing golf with your friends, and you can't afford a real K'segg, and your 9-3 cab is too cheap against your friends porsche and maserati,or what is your point?
They have a phase 2 where they sell less cars than they will be able to build for a price which is still ok. On this phase they will introduce a K'segg version of at least the 9-5 for people like you.
At the end of the day, if K'segg finds 260.000 Larsjorges worldwide the phase 3 will work, but I can't imagine that any of those 260.000 will be really passionate about SAAB, if K'segg forgets only one bling in a MY all those will move to the next "show-off" brand.
So the business plan ìs not for nostalgic overtures but to generate enough money to break-even, pay the EIB loan back and show some ROI to the shareholders. Thirdly, they have personal ambitions too - proving that they can resurrect a moribund entity but then inject their own herìtage into it to elevate it to a premium status. We should be careful in passing judgement on people who bought into this quirky experience to make money. Is this not what we clamoured for all along? As an example, I lust after a Maserati Quattroporte Ottocilindri but I can't even afford a used one. So if Saab goes upmarket, "tata ma chance for me china!" This will make a lot of us feel hot under the collar, but at least it will save Saab's bacon.
The last thing Saab needs to be is a second BMW. GM tried that road and failed.
It's in Saabs nature to have a right of existence without the need of a 'premium' label. That doesn't mean the prices shouldn't rice. Quality, first class safety and innovative technique comes at a price. As Jacob showed us Saab weren't a bargain in the sucessful years of the 80's. Off course, the game has moved on, but I can imagine rising the prices is the right decission at this moment when we want Saab to revive.
Current base price for a 9-3 is 30,360 USD
It seems that if the average price per vehicle is going to be less than $28,000 then they are planning on reducing the price of vehicles, maybe to drive demand. If the average price per vehicle for the 9-3, 9-3x and 9-5 is that low they should be able to take sales away from Subaru with the 9-3x, bring people in who were considering VW, and if someone was looking at Volvo or Audi, they would have to really think about looking at a Saab with the amount they could save, or trade up from an A4 to a 9-5. All good things.
208,000 SEK = 30,650 USD
280,000 SEK = 41,250 USD
That is a Large jump in price in 4 years, which makes me think that they are planning on introducing some new technology. If by reducing price now can get more people into their cars, and they can show the masses that the quality and performance of their cars are inline with Audi and BMW, and then introduce new technology, they will probably be able to justify having an average price of $41,250. Saab also said they will be having a more average life cycle for vehicles so 2016 is also following the time line for a possible next gen 9-5, when you think about 280,000 SEK doesn't seem as bad.
As for the 65,000 units per year number, I wouldn't think they would try and reduce the number of cars they produce a year. If they can justify the price by 2016 I think they are trying to show that they will become more an more profitable as time goes on. If by 2016 they only need to produce 65,000 to break even and they are at the 115,000 unit level still then it is great news for them.
Zippy, JMC,
it has already been discussed that those are not the selling prices but the money SAAB gets per car.
So it seems quite reasonable not to expect any price reduction for the next two years
1) What we can see at DI.se are no business plan, it's just tiny snippets of an alleged one. It's very hard to draw any conclusions from these sheer numbers without any arguments supporting them. Not no mention trying to guess which models will be offered.
2) The prices mentioned are average prizes. If they'll start producing electric cars, then these will probably be more expensive to produce than the "normal" variant due to battery cost etc. At least for a certain number of years in to the future. I think they will keep car models/packages that are still low enough to be bought through an ordinary company lease, but since it's average prices it's hard to guess what the model range looks like (and what they'll be charging for the 9-5 KE).
I think Saab has a good chance to be just as premium as BMW fairly fast, just in a different way; Saab is about substance, not surface (as most other Premium cars tend to be); There was a saying in Sweden in the eighties that during the worst day of winter, the left lane on the highways was called the "Saab lane". Which held a some amount of truth, as Saab could go safely at higher speed on unevenly slippery roads. (Speed traps during the winter were/are rare...). I think there are a lot of people that like the sleeper aspect of Saab.
And if there is anyone that could take Saab upmarket, there are few (if any) that are more credible that Koenigsegg to do it.
JMC: What the consumer pays for a car and what Saab get payed for a car are two different things, these prices reflect the latter. I would expect that you have to add at least 30-40% to the price plus local sales taxes to the prices mentioned above to get the consumer price.
SaabKen: Ask any european about that and they don't understand what you're talking about. The trouble for Audi was only on the north american market and there was actually nothing wrong with the cars. The trouble was that some drivers were not used to having the pedals so close to eachother, then the media made a big deal about it. In Europe at the same time Audi had great success with sporty, turbocharged and four wheel driven cars.
I agree.
The prices we see here are not the prices at which cars are sold to consumers
I think these are the prices for selling cars to distributors/dealers, meaning that in the 2010/11 period SAAB needs to get paid an average 189k SKR for every car they ship out to a dealership.
By 2016, they want to increase cash flow per unit to an average 150% of 2010.
I think this sounds quite ambitious.
On the other hand, SAAB were required to present a business plan that will be viable even if the market will not recover and they will not be able to increase their market share, i.e. to sell many more cars than they sell now.
The "business plan" presented by Dagens Industri is what SAAB want the public to know about how they intend to meet these requirements, I guess.
I'm with Eggs 'n Grits - all electric 9-3, Yum!
My instinct is this is a fan's wishlist, not a true business plan.
The so-called "sub-premium" segment does not exist - it has been filled by either upscale models of mainstream brands (e.g. a loaded-up Honda Accord or a VW Passat) or by stripped-down models of premium brands (e.g. a BMW 318i or a Mercedes-Benz C200). Saab has no business competing with them. These models are possible becasue both companies sell millions of cars globally - Saab does not, nor should it attempt to.
Faced with a choice between cheap Saabs mass manufactured in China on 20 year old platforms and Saabs manufactured in Sweden based on modern platforms and technology, I am somewhat in favour of the former.
And let's put paid to the notion of 'Scandinavian Basics' -- if that means 'cheap'.
That model works only when the production is outsourced to inexpensive labour enclaves (a la IKEA). If (as others have noted -- Brother Kroum etc.) we wish to maintain a Swedish production base then we better look to B&O, Hastens as our exemplars.
[Employment Gods Willing] you better believe I'll be putting a deposit down for that 'K edition' 9-5 in '12 :).
Stoked to finally see something, even if its not 100% yet. This in itself is great.
I hope SAAB oz executives are reading this and making a new business plan. Believe the 9-3 should be positioned in the 35'000 to 50'000 aud bracket with improved warranty period.
A more streamlined model line up would help. On the other hand current private buyers must be in distress as depro is again in freefall.
K-Segg deserve a go and all business plans are subject to change due to external circumstances.
Saab is not very well known in NZ and is not marketed to its full potential to create brand awareness.
I do not believe Saab in NZ will sell any cars if they bung up the prices. They can hardly sell the 9-3 now.
People dont want to pay a bundle of money for a car nobody has heard of. Doesnt really scream sucess or impress many does it?
Even myself am contemplating sticking with the brand once the prices go up. I simply wont be able to afford it.
If anything I believe that Saab should put prices on its 9-3 range down to attract interest and focus on selling a larger volume of cars at a lower price. More Saabs on the road means more brand awareness.
GM changed its media.gm.com and now the media.saab.com disappeared!!!
regards
I wish SAAB well but they need to be realistic with the "premium" label....they just arent at that level which isnt a bad thing....VW is about to take over as number one in the world and their cars are nothing to run home about but they are all over the place and are affordable...in the deep recession we have here now that is a big plus and it looks like it will take years for us to recover at this pace...
The prices mentioned are ex SAAB and therefore need to be increased by 1.4 plus country taxes to find the retail customer price. Thus the retail prices will be cost ex SAAB plus 55% to 60%.Will SAAB be competitive and will they still have the same dealer network?
What SAAB needs is a 9.1 and volume. It always needed a small car. Audi have a A1 next year - are they wrong. No. Just look at the registration figures for Jaguar and Porsche.Do we really need more expensive cars in this market place.The recession is not over yet Ksegg!
What is wrong with selling a K-segg edition of a Saab, after all they are the parent company, and I personally think it will sell well if we build a well made car that will compete with the Germans. If we do this then the Ksegg edition will put that final stake into the stronghold the Germans have. Don't get me wrong I love the Merc/BMW/ and even Audi's but would like to be able to stick it right up there noses. I am sorry for sounding a little bitter but in the states while under GM, Saab has taken a beating and most people think we don't have a world class car. The car does have its short falls and most can be blamed on GM not giving a S***. But the 9-5 and 9-3 still look good on the road.
JKing I just saw your post. I have a question because I sorta agree but disagree. If we were to really build the type of car that all of us here want them to build. Would you still buy a Bemmer
I'd rather like to see K-egg and Saab "bound" together like Lexus and Toyota in Toyota camp.
Lexus is making the real premium cars with smaller volumes and Toyota is making small, medium and large models with larger volumes.
The "prices starting from" models should be priced correctly against their rivals, neither too high nor too low.
If K-egg really wants to raise the prices of Saabs so tremendously, that's not a good thing. For example I have a company car which is 9-3 Sport Combi and there's a certain price limit for our company cars. I really wouldn't like to choose another car brand in the future if the prices of Saabs will raise tremendously. I'm not the kind of guy who likes to drive a Saab in private but another brand as a company car. They both have to be Saabs and currently they are ;-)
By the end of 2007 Lexus' annual US sales had risen to 329,177 vehicles, and total worldwide sales reached 500,000 vehicles. In 2008, amidst the recession, sales dropped 21% in the US reaching a total of 260,087, and global sales fell 16% to 435,000. The corresponding numbers for Saab’s worldwide total are 125,397 (2007) and 90,281 (2008).
Keep the SAAB as it is, near-premium brand with world class cars slightly undercutting germans on price, but offering more options standard. Include hybrids and all electric vehicles to lower C02 emissions.
Then take the SAAB range as a starting point, and offer rebadged and slightly redesigned cars under Koenigsegg badge. Sell them via SAAB dealerships, make them an exclusive accessory, handbuilt and all. Only offer top of the range engines and options, limited editions. Offer M5 and M3 trouncing performance and better exclusivity.
For instance, a slightly redesigned 9-5 powered by the K-segg 4.7 V8 and 500+ hp. Limited edition, partially handbuilt, priced between the Quattroporte, Panamera and M5, AMGs and similar cars.
And if they really go premium, they should get it right this time: they should start to offer premium quality and premium service BEFORE they start asking premium prices!
i take my saabs straight with a bit of punch. so if they rolled out a new 900 and it fit the bill, id be there, so there.
working in the auto industry, i wonder thought about these concepts of price and if they will even still apply a year or so down the road with the economy and everything else going on.
Alpina uses BMWs as base for their cars, improves on the suspension, brakes, engines, ride, handbuilts bespoke interiors. They only sell about 1000-1500 cars a years, but they are highly profitable and are currently fielding a GT3 team in the ADAC masters series and FIA GT3 championship.
The same could be applied to K-segg SAABs.
Use a 9-5 as a base, improve on it, make it exclusive, and sell at a much higher price. It cannot be done under SAAB badge, so use K-segg's. Simple as that.
In the automotive industry there are two ways to survive. Produce larger numbers of cars for a low price or produce small numbers of cars at a high price. To survive on the number of cars Saab produce the cars must be expensive.
Under the GM era Saab has mainly sold entry level premium vehicles based on GM components. This have not been successful, and on the longer term Saab is also losing the possebility to use cheap massproduced GM components.
From that I think it's obvious what Saab must do to survive. They need to offer more high end cars and increase their prices so they can survive on lower volumes. Trying to beat the bigger manufacturers by price is not going to succeed in anything else than a bankrupcy.
In Sweden 280k SEK probably means a customer price around 500k SEK. With brands like Lexus which sell about a half million cars per year I would expect that average car price is already above that level if we look at IS/GS/RX models. That should give some idea what Saab need to offer for prices in that level.
"Keep the SAAB as it is, near-premium brand with world class cars slightly undercutting germans on price, but offering more options standard."
You want world-class cars built in Sweden with more options yet cheaper than the Germans. Which land do you guys live in?
If you want world-class cars loaded with options get ready to pay for them.
I have noticed Trademe has a huge amount of 2003-2006 9-3 imports from Singapore which is nice atleast to see a growing number of Saab's on the roads seeming they wont sell here new.
Its often not worth spending a huge amount on a brand new Saab when the resale value is woeful, instead Saab lovers just buy the imports or buy well looked after NZ new ones (hard to find).
I do however, agree with those that call for a smaller car not because Saab needs to compete in that market but rather needs to recruit new fans, You drivers will not be able to get into 9-5s and unless Saab can find affordable ways for younger generations to drive their brand they will die with their rich and loyal Saabistas, anybody out there?
Like other premium makers are doing right now. Smaller cars smaller displacement Turbocharged engines -> better economy is the way to go.
Small SUV/SAV/Crossover - whatever seqment seems to be growing:
Audi -> Q5, BMW X1, Volvo XC60, Merc GLK and every Korean manufacturer and their brother are offering new cars in this class. 9-3x is a good start, but is it enough? 9-4x? Maybe with 1.9TTiD, who knows?
Reaching break even means no bankrupt, right? But still no profit and will not keep owner happy.
...and still the ONLY way to help Saab is to buy a new Saab. Every day I´m trying to figure out how...
The lower this figure, the better, because its not total production.. no manufacturer wants to limit this, nor knows this figure, unless it is a limited run vehicle. The 65,000 vehicle figure refers to how many cars they need to sell to break even in costs. Would you prefer to have to sell a MINUMUM 25,000 cars to cover your costs and make $0, or a MINIMUM 100,000 cars to make $0?
Also the increase in price is so large in a short time span because, aside from an increase in stickers across the board(which sometimes needs to be done to increase sales in a certain segment.. there are psuchological aspects here), they must be planning on A)selling a higher percentage of 9-5s than before(maybe more 9-3 verts, too.. aso XWD 9-3s are more than non XWD, ect.) and B)introducing new models that would sway that figure higher(take 9-4x, for example.. it will surely be priced closer to the 9-5 range than the 9-3 range).
Of course. As far as I know, the salary costs are lower in Sweden than they are in Germany. Plus: currency advantages/disadvantages. Currently Swedish crown makes it worthwhile to export goods from Sweden. But don't know how it's gonna be in the future...